TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Sun vs C. Liu (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with C. Liu favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Sun | C. Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.9% | 84.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.9% | 69.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Liu | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 25, 2025 | Guangzhou | hard | L. Sun | 2 - 0 |
| L | O. Dodin | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Klimovicova | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 0 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | M. Stoiana | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | E. McDonald | 2 - 1 | June 9, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Oz | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | M. S. Popa | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used