TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Gjorcheska (moneyline) in L. Gjorcheska vs L. Bronzetti (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Gjorcheska | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.3% | 51.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.0% | 72.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gjorcheska | clay | 1546 | 132–79 | 211 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
L. Gjorcheska leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Gjorcheska | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 23, 2021 | W25 Moscow | hard | L. Gjorcheska | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Firman | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Chiesa | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Anisimova | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies a 15.5% edge on Gjorcheska at odds of 3.39, driven by ELO ratings that actually favor the underdog. Qualitative analysis strongly supports this: Bronzetti has logged 4x the court time in the last two weeks and is adjusting from a clay final on June 14th to grass, while Gjorcheska is fresh. The market is overvaluing Bronzetti's reputation and recent win count without accounting for the physical toll of her schedule.