TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Smith vs M. Zheng (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with M. Zheng favoured at 1.65.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Smith | M. Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.1% | 66.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.9% | 57.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 26, 2026.
M. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Zheng | 3 - 1 |
| L | . R. Pascual F. | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Wolf | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Bu | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Ilagan | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used