TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Mejia vs T. Schoolkate (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with T. Schoolkate favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Mejia | T. Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.2% | 67.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.0% | 72.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.8% | 73.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mejia | hard | 1591 | 88–100 | 188 |
| T. Schoolkate | hard | 1610 | 157–125 | 282 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
N. Mejia leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Mejia | 3 - 0 |
| April 5, 2026 | San Luis Potosi | clay | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 18, 2024 | ATP Winston-Salem | hard | T. Schoolkate | 2 - 0 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Soto | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Cassone | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Holmgren | 1 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Evans | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used