TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Shang (moneyline) at 1.92 in L. Darderi vs J. Shang (Montreal on 2026-08-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Darderi | J. Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.5% | 65.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.4% | 59.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
16.0% | 84.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.7% | 51.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Darderi | hard | 1716 | 50–49 | 99 |
| J. Shang | hard | 1678 | 93–62 | 155 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 8, 2026.
L. Darderi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 6, 2026 | Montreal | hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 3 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 3 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Wendelken | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 | Aug. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Vallejo | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →