TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Shang (moneyline) at 1.92 in L. Darderi vs J. Shang (Montreal on 2026-08-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Darderi | J. Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.5% | 65.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.4% | 59.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
16.0% | 84.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.7% | 51.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Darderi | hard | 1689 | 52–54 | 106 |
| J. Shang | hard | 1701 | 97–65 | 162 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
L. Darderi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 6, 2026 | Montreal | hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. E. Overbeck | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →