TennisEdge's AI bot is backing I. Begu (moneyline) in K. Muchova vs I. Begu (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-24).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Muchova | I. Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.6% | 19.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Muchova | grass | 1916 | 18–11 | 29 |
| I. Begu | grass | 1587 | 9–8 | 17 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 11, 2026.
K. Muchova leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| July 20, 2024 | Palermo | clay | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| June 2, 2023 | WTA French Open | clay | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| April 27, 2023 | WTA Madrid | clay | I. Begu | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →