TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Alexandrova (moneyline) in E. Alexandrova vs M. Andreeva (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-24).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Alexandrova | M. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.5% | 35.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.1% | 46.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.7% | 71.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Alexandrova | grass | 1778 | 39–17 | 56 |
| M. Andreeva | grass | 1685 | 12–8 | 20 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.
E. Alexandrova leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 8, 2026 | Beijing | hard | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| June 24, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 |
| April 17, 2025 | Stuttgart | clay | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | H. Guo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →