TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Sonego (moneyline) at 2.38 in J. Shang vs L. Sonego (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Shang | L. Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.0% | 37.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.1% | 44.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 8, 2026 | Hong Kong | hard | J. Shang | 2 - 0 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. E. Overbeck | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | I. Montes-De La Torre | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 0 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →