J. Lehecka vs R. Jodar — Prediction & Analysis

Montreal · ATP Montreal - 1/8-finals · Aug. 8, 2026 · 22:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Jodar (moneyline) at 1.87 in J. Lehecka vs R. Jodar (Montreal on 2026-08-08). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds J. Lehecka 2.17 · R. Jodar 1.72

Bot bet

R. Jodar (moneyline) @ 1.87 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Lehecka · R. Jodar · head-to-head record · Montreal

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Lehecka R. Jodar
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
46.0% 54.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
35.6% 64.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
25.8% 74.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.0% 54.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
44.2% 55.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Lehecka hard1897 131–86217
R. Jodar hard1914 73–2598

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.

Head to head

R. Jodar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 9, 2026MontrealhardR. Jodar2 - 0

Recent form

J. Lehecka

L S. Tsitsipas 1 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W T. Samuel 3 - 0 Sept. 2, 2026
W P. Carreno-Busta 3 - 1 Aug. 30, 2026
L A. Fils 1 - 2 Aug. 18, 2026
W M. Berrettini 2 - 1 Aug. 15, 2026

R. Jodar

L Y. Bu 0 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
L F. Cobolli 1 - 2 Aug. 19, 2026
W A. Tabilo 2 - 0 Aug. 17, 2026
W D. Shapovalov 2 - 1 Aug. 15, 2026
L B. Nakashima 0 - 2 Aug. 12, 2026

All Aug. 8, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →