TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Norrie (moneyline) at 3.18 in A. Fils vs C. Norrie (Montreal on 2026-08-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fils | C. Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.5% | 27.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
A. Fils leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 9, 2026 | Montreal | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 3 - 1 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 2 - 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | Aug. 9, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Aug. 6, 2026 |
All Aug. 8, 2026 results & picks →