TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Norrie (moneyline) at 3.18 in A. Fils vs C. Norrie (Montreal on 2026-08-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fils | C. Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.5% | 27.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
A. Fils leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 9, 2026 | Montreal | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Fritz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
All Aug. 8, 2026 results & picks →