TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Rinderknech (moneyline) at 3.00 in A. Rinderknech vs B. Nakashima (Montreal on 2026-08-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | B. Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
22.3% | 77.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.1% | 64.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.6% | 67.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1779 | 132–108 | 240 |
| B. Nakashima | hard | 1871 | 187–108 | 295 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.
B. Nakashima leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 8, 2026 | Montreal | hard | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 |
| May 23, 2023 | ATP Lyon | clay | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 21, 2021 | Istanbul | hard | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Kym | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | H. Medjedovic | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
All Aug. 8, 2026 results & picks →