TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Rinderknech (moneyline) at 3.00 in A. Rinderknech vs B. Nakashima (Montreal on 2026-08-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | B. Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
22.3% | 77.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.1% | 64.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.6% | 67.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1790 | 130–105 | 235 |
| B. Nakashima | hard | 1911 | 185–104 | 289 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.
B. Nakashima leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 8, 2026 | Montreal | hard | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 |
| May 23, 2023 | ATP Lyon | clay | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 21, 2021 | Istanbul | hard | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Munar | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Shimabukuro | 1 - 3 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | Aug. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 3 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| W | T. Fritz | 1 - 2 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 8, 2026 results & picks →