TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J-L. Struff vs J. Faria (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with J. Faria favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J-L. Struff | J. Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.4% | 72.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.3% | 64.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.8% | 60.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J-L. Struff | hard | 1666 | 77–88 | 165 |
| J. Faria | clay | 1796 | 92–74 | 166 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
J. Faria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Faria | 3 - 0 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | C. O'Connell | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used