TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Clarke vs D. Sweeny (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with J. Clarke favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Clarke | D. Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.0% | 20.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.9% | 17.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
81.5% | 18.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.2% | 20.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Clarke | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 28, 2023 | Pune Challenger Men | hard | D. Sweeny | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Kym | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Wessels | 1 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Paardekooper | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Visser | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Chan | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Martin | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used