TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. C. Prado Angelo vs M. McDonald (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with J. C. Prado Angelo favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. C. Prado Angelo | M. McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.3% | 19.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
80.8% | 19.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.9% | 28.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.5% | 37.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. C. Prado Angelo | clay | 1637 | 136–89 | 225 |
| M. McDonald | hard | 1689 | 131–104 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
J. C. Prado Angelo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Svajda | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | E. Butvilas | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Walton | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | P. Kypson | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used