TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Brooksby vs F. Cerundolo (London on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with F. Cerundolo favoured at 1.45.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Brooksby | F. Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.0% | 33.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.6% | 46.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.3% | 62.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1729 | 86–55 | 141 |
| F. Cerundolo | clay | 1861 | 125–69 | 194 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
F. Cerundolo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | London | grass | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Winter | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Moutet | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | I. Buse | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Boyer | 0 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Miguel | 3 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 3 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 1 - 3 | July 17, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used