TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Vandewinkel vs M. Barthel (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with H. Vandewinkel favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Vandewinkel | M. Barthel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.7% | 63.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Vandewinkel | clay | 1593 | 99–62 | 161 |
| M. Barthel | hard | 1675 | 102–75 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 26, 2026.
H. Vandewinkel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | H. Vandewinkel | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | W. Falkowska | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Pace | Walk Over | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | E. Vedder | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used