TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Damm vs M. Houkes (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with M. Damm favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Damm | M. Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.6% | 84.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.8% | 79.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.9% | 19.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
M. Damm leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | M. Damm | 2 - 1 |
| W | H. Rocha | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Rinderknech | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Carballes Baena | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Zahraj | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Lopez Morillo | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Popovic | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used