TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. C. Grant (moneyline) in H. Tan vs T. C. Grant (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Tan | T. C. Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.9% | 32.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.1% | 47.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Tan | hard | 1606 | 144–100 | 244 |
| T. C. Grant | clay | 1709 | 50–24 | 74 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
T. C. Grant leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. C. Grant | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Adeshina | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Garland | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies a 5.4% edge on H. Tan, driven primarily by the Machine Learning model's strong 67.9% win probability, which contrasts with the ELO model's projection of a tight match. Qualitative analysis supports this: Tan is a verified grass specialist (6-1 record) facing an opponent in Grant who the market is arguably over-valuing due to 'chasing' recent results (+33 market drift vs -6 results). While Tan carries a higher fatigue load (12 sets vs 6 in last 14 days), the structural surface advantage and the market's overreaction to Grant's form justify backing the favorite.