TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 22.5 games at 1.92 in H. Rocha vs P. Martinez (Estoril on 2026-07-20). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Rocha | P. Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
82.2% | 17.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.7% | 45.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Rocha | clay | 1667 | 90–87 | 177 |
| P. Martinez | clay | 1664 | 131–106 | 237 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 9, 2026.
P. Martinez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 20, 2026 | Estoril | clay | P. Martinez | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Tobon | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | T. Barrios Vera | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | D. Blanch | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 1 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All July 20, 2026 results & picks →