TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 22.5 games at 1.92 in H. Rocha vs P. Martinez (Estoril on 2026-07-20). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Rocha | P. Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
82.2% | 17.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.7% | 45.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Rocha | clay | 1721 | 88–83 | 171 |
| P. Martinez | clay | 1659 | 128–103 | 231 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
P. Martinez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 20, 2026 | Estoril | clay | P. Martinez | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Lajovic | 0 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | S. Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Mmoh | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | L. Djere | 1 - 2 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | V. Aboian | 2 - 0 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Zeitune | 2 - 0 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | F. Forti | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
All July 20, 2026 results & picks →