TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Mejia (moneyline) at 2.24 in H. Rocha vs N. Mejia (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Rocha | N. Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.5% | 48.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.3% | 42.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 4, 2026.
N. Mejia leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 13, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 |
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Tobon | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | T. Barrios Vera | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 1 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | D. Blanch | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. H. Rehberg | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | J. Kennedy | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | M. Cassone | 1 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Tobon | 2 - 1 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →