H. Hurkacz vs A. Tabilo — Prediction & Analysis

Montreal · ATP Montreal - 1/32-finals · Aug. 6, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Tabilo (moneyline) at 2.28 in H. Hurkacz vs A. Tabilo (Montreal on 2026-08-06). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds H. Hurkacz 1.60 · A. Tabilo 2.16

Bot bet

A. Tabilo (moneyline) @ 2.28 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: H. Hurkacz · A. Tabilo · head-to-head record · Montreal

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method H. Hurkacz A. Tabilo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
46.1% 53.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.6% 39.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
37.5% 62.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.1% 53.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
57.4% 42.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
H. Hurkacz hard1825 134–85219
A. Tabilo hard1818 80–64144

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.

Head to head

H. Hurkacz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 5, 2026MontrealhardH. Hurkacz2 - 0

Recent form

H. Hurkacz

L B. Shelton 3 - 1 Sept. 2, 2026
W D. Dzumhur 1 - 3 Aug. 31, 2026
W S. Baez 1 - 2 Aug. 24, 2026
W M. Echargui 2 - 0 Aug. 22, 2026
W R. Safiullin 0 - 2 Aug. 21, 2026

A. Tabilo

L A. Zverev 3 - 0 Sept. 6, 2026
W A. Popyrin 1 - 3 Sept. 3, 2026
W Y. Hanfmann 1 - 3 Aug. 31, 2026
L R. Jodar 2 - 0 Aug. 17, 2026
W J-L. Struff 0 - 2 Aug. 15, 2026

All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →

32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →