TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Tabilo (moneyline) at 2.28 in H. Hurkacz vs A. Tabilo (Montreal on 2026-08-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Hurkacz | A. Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.4% | 42.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1884 | 145–90 | 235 |
| A. Tabilo | hard | 1805 | 83–69 | 152 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
H. Hurkacz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 5, 2026 | Montreal | hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →