TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Echargui (moneyline) in H. Gaston vs M. Echargui (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Gaston | M. Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.1% | 49.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.9% | 28.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gaston | grass | 1560 | 11–12 | 23 |
| M. Echargui | hard | 1563 | 150–80 | 230 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.
H. Gaston leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Gaston | 3 - 1 |
| L | M. Martineau | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | M. Kouame | 0 - 1 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Petkovic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Walters | 2 - 0 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| L | F. Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | B. Hassan | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →