TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Minnen vs A. Gasanova (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with G. Minnen favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Minnen | A. Gasanova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Minnen | hard | 1667 | 122–81 | 203 |
| A. Gasanova | hard | 1654 | 123–68 | 191 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
G. Minnen leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| July 15, 2021 | Livesport Prague Open | clay | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | H. Tan | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used