TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Knutson vs M. Trevisan (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Trevisan favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Knutson | M. Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.5% | 70.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
67.7% | 32.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Knutson | hard | 1531 | 131–86 | 217 |
| M. Trevisan | clay | 1608 | 75–57 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
M. Trevisan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Trevisan | 2 - 1 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | N. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Pace | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. R. Bertea | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used