TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Bueno vs F. Bax (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with G. Bueno favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Bueno | F. Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.7% | 42.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
G. Bueno leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | J. B. Torres | 0 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | H. Barton | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | P. Martinez Gomez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | G. Debru | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Kumasaka | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Inchauspe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Added | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used