TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. A. Olivieri vs T. Faurel (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with G. A. Olivieri favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. A. Olivieri | T. Faurel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.9% | 27.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. A. Olivieri | clay | 1569 | 160–141 | 301 |
| T. Faurel | clay | 1460 | 43–48 | 91 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
T. Faurel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. I. Justo | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Zielinski | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | J. Lassila | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used