TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Marozsan vs M. Kecmanovic (Halle on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Kecmanovic favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Marozsan | M. Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.0% | 64.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.9% | 62.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.8% | 60.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marozsan | clay | 1759 | 115–59 | 174 |
| M. Kecmanovic | hard | 1734 | 98–98 | 196 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 22, 2026.
F. Marozsan leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 |
| June 16, 2026 | Halle | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Kecmanovic | 3 - 0 |
| June 16, 2025 | Halle | grass | F. Marozsan | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used