TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Gill vs K. Jacquet (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with F. Gill favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Gill | K. Jacquet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.8% | 34.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.3% | 35.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Gill | clay | 1662 | 179–87 | 266 |
| K. Jacquet | clay | 1612 | 85–61 | 146 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 22, 2026.
K. Jacquet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Gojo | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Basing | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. J. Planinsek | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | W. Jansen | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Diallo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used