TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Comesana vs L. Darderi (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with L. Darderi favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Comesana | L. Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.1% | 79.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.9% | 83.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
23.3% | 76.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.1% | 79.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.1% | 71.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Comesana | clay | 1706 | 184–101 | 285 |
| L. Darderi | clay | 1922 | 193–101 | 294 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.
F. Comesana leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Comesana | 3 - 2 |
| Aug. 10, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | F. Comesana | 1 - 0 |
| April 27, 2022 | Buenos Aires 2 | clay | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Donald | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| L | D. Svrcina | 0 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | P. Martinez | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used