TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Cina vs Y. Watanuki (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with F. Cina favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Cina | Y. Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.5% | 56.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cina | hard | 1683 | 55–35 | 90 |
| Y. Watanuki | hard | 1598 | 127–88 | 215 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
F. Cina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Cina | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Holmgren | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Shick | Walk Over | July 5, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used