TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs E. Rybakina (Rome on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with E. Rybakina favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | E. Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.0% | 54.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
19.9% | 80.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.2% | 63.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| E. Rybakina | hard | 2149 | 174–69 | 243 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
E. Rybakina leads 4–3 over 7 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Rome | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 |
| March 14, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| April 27, 2025 | Madrid | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| July 10, 2024 | WTA Wimbledon | grass | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| June 3, 2024 | WTA French Open | clay | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used