TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs K. Khachanov (Rome on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | K. Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.9% | 22.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
71.4% | 28.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.8% | 26.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.9% | 21.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ruud | hard | 1866 | 119–78 | 197 |
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Rome | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 1 |
| April 3, 2026 | UTS Championship | hard | C. Ruud | 3 - 1 |
| Aug. 2, 2025 | Toronto | hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 9, 2022 | US Open | hard | C. Ruud | 3 - 1 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used