TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Dar. Blanch vs L. Pavlovic (French Open on 2026-05-22) — the market is efficient, with Dar. Blanch favoured at 1.63.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Dar. Blanch | L. Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.2% | 58.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.3% | 65.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.5% | 51.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.4% | 42.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Blanch | hard | 1549 | 56–41 | 97 |
| L. Pavlovic | clay | 1555 | 129–77 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
L. Pavlovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | G. Johns | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All May 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used