TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Svrcina vs G. Den Ouden (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with D. Svrcina favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Svrcina | G. Den Ouden |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.2% | 51.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Svrcina | clay | 1643 | 100–83 | 183 |
| G. Den Ouden | clay | 1695 | 124–56 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
D. Svrcina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Svrcina | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 0 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | R. Nijboer | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used