TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Shnaider vs M. Kessler (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with D. Shnaider favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | M. Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.6% | 18.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.1% | 71.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.1% | 38.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1841 | 98–62 | 160 |
| M. Kessler | hard | 1792 | 101–54 | 155 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
D. Shnaider leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used