TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Goffin vs C. H. Tseng (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with C. H. Tseng favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Goffin | C. H. Tseng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.2% | 55.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.7% | 66.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goffin | hard | 1610 | 86–90 | 176 |
| C. H. Tseng | clay | 1663 | 134–83 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 12, 2026.
D. Goffin leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Goffin | 2 - 0 |
| March 2, 2026 | ATP Indian Wells | hard | C. H. Tseng | 2 - 0 |
| July 27, 2023 | Verona Challenger Men | clay | D. Goffin | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 14, 2022 | Cincinnati | hard | D. Goffin | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | C. H. Tseng | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 | April 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Nava | 2 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 1 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | O. Luz | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | G. Heide | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | L. Djere | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | O. Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used