TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Kessler (moneyline) at 2.13 in C. McNally vs M. Kessler (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. McNally | M. Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.2% | 58.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.0% | 51.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.9% | 43.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McNally | hard | 1746 | 91–72 | 163 |
| M. Kessler | hard | 1748 | 101–57 | 158 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 19, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | C. McNally | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 10, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | Y. Starodubtseva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 2 - 0 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →