TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Gauff vs M. Sherif (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with C. Gauff favoured at 1.03.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Gauff | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
83.8% | 16.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
90.8% | 9.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.1% | 27.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
93.6% | 6.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
C. Gauff leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 17, 2023 | WTA Cincinnati | hard | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Liu | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used