TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Tomic vs M. Echargui (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Echargui favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Tomic | M. Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.2% | 25.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.1% | 35.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Tomic | hard | 1624 | 149–103 | 252 |
| M. Echargui | hard | 1570 | 139–69 | 208 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
B. Tomic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | B. Tomic | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Tobon | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used