TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Bonzi vs M. Polmans (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with B. Bonzi favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Bonzi | M. Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
78.5% | 21.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
88.0% | 12.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
83.3% | 16.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.2% | 21.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bonzi | hard | 1746 | 163–94 | 257 |
| M. Polmans | hard | 1539 | 152–106 | 258 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
B. Bonzi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | B. Bonzi | 2 - 0 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. D. Hara Friend | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Mmoh | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | B. Bonzi | 2 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
| L | H. Squire | 2 - 0 | June 2, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used