TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 22.5 games at 2.10 in A. Zverev vs N. Djokovic (Beijing on 2026-10-04). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Zverev | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.8% | 30.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.8% | 51.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.1% | 30.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zverev | hard | 2026 | 198–73 | 271 |
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2009 | 137–33 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
N. Djokovic leads 5–4 over 9 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 4, 2026 | Beijing | hard | N. Djokovic | 2 - 1 |
| June 4, 2025 | French Open | clay | N. Djokovic | 3 - 1 |
| Jan. 24, 2025 | Australian Open | hard | A. Zverev | 1 - 0 |
| Aug. 20, 2023 | ATP Cincinnati | hard | N. Djokovic | 2 - 0 |
| Dec. 20, 2022 | Exhibition World Tennis League | hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Fery | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All Oct. 4, 2026 results & picks →