TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Hurkacz (moneyline) at 2.25 in H. Hurkacz vs K. Khachanov (Beijing on 2026-10-04). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Hurkacz | K. Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.3% | 44.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.8% | 50.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.2% | 59.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.6% | 58.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1884 | 145–90 | 235 |
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1849 | 137–93 | 230 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
H. Hurkacz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 4, 2026 | Beijing | hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 1 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All Oct. 4, 2026 results & picks →