TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.93 in S. Kraus vs D. Yastremska (Beijing on 2026-10-04). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kraus | D. Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.1% | 62.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kraus | hard | 1707 | 56–59 | 115 |
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1690 | 92–90 | 182 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.
S. Kraus leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 4, 2026 | Beijing | hard | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | X. You | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Oct. 4, 2026 results & picks →