TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Y. Nishioka +4.0 (game handicap) at 1.69 in A. Shevchenko vs Y. Nishioka (Shanghai on 2026-10-05). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Shevchenko | Y. Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.8% | 38.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.0% | 61.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.1% | 30.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shevchenko | hard | 1693 | 96–93 | 189 |
| Y. Nishioka | hard | 1711 | 132–89 | 221 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
Y. Nishioka leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 5, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | Y. Nishioka | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 1, 2025 | Shanghai | hard | Y. Nishioka | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | V. Durasovic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Svrcina | 0 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | Sept. 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | Feb. 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | Feb. 7, 2026 |
All Oct. 5, 2026 results & picks →