TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Sabalenka vs E. Jacquemot (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with A. Sabalenka favoured at 1.02.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Sabalenka | E. Jacquemot |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
95.0% | 5.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.8% | 17.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.4% | 27.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
83.4% | 16.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
94.9% | 5.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sabalenka | hard | 2224 | 196–58 | 254 |
| E. Jacquemot | hard | 1619 | 102–82 | 184 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
A. Sabalenka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | I. D. Amariei | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used