TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ruzic vs M. Keys (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with M. Keys favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ruzic | M. Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.5% | 80.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.2% | 83.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.7% | 58.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.8% | 74.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.2% | 82.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Keys leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Keys | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | P. Marcinko | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Anisimova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Day | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used