A. Ruzic vs M. Frech — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 13, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Ruzic (moneyline) at 2.39 in A. Ruzic vs M. Frech (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Ruzic 2.26 · M. Frech 1.71

Bot bet

A. Ruzic (moneyline) @ 2.39 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Ruzic · M. Frech · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Ruzic M. Frech
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
53.2% 46.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
53.1% 46.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
50.1% 49.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
49.4% 50.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.1% 56.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Ruzic hard1734 119–59178
M. Frech hard1741 129–106235

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 6, 2026.

Head to head

M. Frech leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 13, 2026CincinnatihardM. Frech2 - 0

Recent form

A. Ruzic

L A. Eala 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W Xin. Wang 1 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W A. Charaeva 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
L C. Liu 1 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Boulter 2 - 1 Oct. 23, 2026

M. Frech

L H. Shi 0 - 1 Oct. 17, 2026
L I. Swiatek 0 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026
W M. Sawangkaew 0 - 2 Oct. 12, 2026
L A. Ito 0 - 2 Oct. 11, 2026
W M. Uchijima 1 - 0 Oct. 10, 2026

All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →

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