TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Skatov +5.5 (game handicap) at 1.83 in A. Rublev vs T. Skatov (Estoril on 2026-07-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rublev | T. Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
86.7% | 13.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.8% | 25.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.5% | 31.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.6% | 20.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
87.7% | 12.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
A. Rublev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | Estoril | clay | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| L | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Jones | 2 - 1 | Sept. 19, 2026 |
All July 22, 2026 results & picks →