TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Skatov +5.5 (game handicap) at 1.83 in A. Rublev vs T. Skatov (Estoril on 2026-07-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rublev | T. Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
86.7% | 13.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.8% | 25.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.5% | 31.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.6% | 20.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
87.7% | 12.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
A. Rublev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | Estoril | clay | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| W | P. Carreno-Busta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| L | J. Shang | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | Y. Erel | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Bailly | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | G. Onclin | 2 - 1 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
All July 22, 2026 results & picks →