TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rinderknech vs M. Berrettini (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with A. Rinderknech favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | M. Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.5% | 66.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
73.0% | 27.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.3% | 51.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1775 | 126–102 | 228 |
| M. Berrettini | hard | 1804 | 70–53 | 123 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Berrettini | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 31, 2023 | ATP US Open | hard | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 0 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 3 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 1 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Arnaldi | 0 - 1 | June 3, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used