TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rajecki vs A. Ito (Birmingham on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with A. Ito favoured at 1.49.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rajecki | A. Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.4% | 15.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.0% | 27.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.9% | 62.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rajecki | hard | 1456 | 56–49 | 105 |
| A. Ito | hard | 1631 | 140–78 | 218 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
A. Ito leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | A. Ito | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Du Pree | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Maloney | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Sebov | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | A. Sharma | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used